The US Institute of Health fears that a dramatic increase in COD-19 cases in South Asia could lead to 1.5 million cases of the virus worldwide in a single day by mid-May.
According to the report, the Department of Health Metrics and Diagnostics at the University of Washington said that our latest estimates show an increase in COD-19 cases in India as well as in Bangladesh and Pakistan worldwide. The number of people infected with the virus can reach 1.5 million a day.
According to this estimate, by August 1, the number of daily cases in Pakistan could reach 240,000 and the number of deaths could reach 28,549 per day.
Of these, 5,639 deaths could be in Sindh, 12,460 in Punjab, 6,978 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 796 in Balochistan, 115 in Gilgit-Baltistan, 1,088 in Azad Jammu and Kashmir and 1,473 in the federal capital Islamabad.
In July 2020, the Institute predicted that by November 2020, 19 deaths in the United States could exceed 200,000, with the administration of former US President Donald Trump vehemently denying the figures and claiming that those deaths Can be limited to one lakh.
But that prediction came true and now the death toll in the United States has exceeded 572,000, while so far more than 32 million people in the world have been infected with the virus.
In its latest report released this week, the institute called South Asia a global hotspot and warned that the number of infections and deaths in the region would continue to rise before stabilization by mid-May.
The report estimates that the daily death toll in India could rise to 13,000 a day by mid-May, four times the number reported these days.
The institute's analysis shows that the epidemic will cause a dramatic increase in India and other parts of South Asia by mid-May.
"The number of cases and deaths in India continues to rise dramatically, and our analysis shows that the detection rate of the infection is less than 5 per cent, perhaps close to 3 to 4 per cent at present," the report said.
"This means that the number of cases being diagnosed needs to be increased by 20 times so that the actual number of people infected with the virus in India can be ascertained, the number of people currently infected with the virus in India," he said. Is unusual
The report further said that many more cases are being reported in India at present globally than two weeks ago.
The institute predicts that the epidemic is likely to continue until at least the second week of May, with our models suggesting that transmission in India may begin to decline by the end of May.
The report said that due to the increase in cases in India, cases are also spreading in Nepal.
Commenting on official statistics provided by local governments, the institute said that cases in other countries in South Asia, especially in Bangladesh, have reached a peak and are now declining.
"Due to Ramadan, the testing process may be slowing down, so we are closely monitoring the trends in Bangladesh and Pakistan," the report added.
With 17.6 million cases, India is currently the epicenter of the world's worst corona virus, according to a CNN report.
The report claims that the actual number of people infected with the virus in India is 30 times higher and could be as high as 500 million.
